AUDJPY touched the 111.00 level and was last at 111.00, up 0.08% on the day, showing mild Aussie strength versus the yen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance & Pivot Today (Oct 28, 2026)
What drives the technical score
- Intraday view is bullish
- Price above the 20-day average
- Daily MACD above its signal line
- Daily RSI 53, neutral momentum
- 5-day change +0.3%, little net move
- Daily view is bearish
- Price below the 50-day average
- 20-day average below the 50-day
- Daily MACD below zero
- 20-day change +0.6%, little net move
- 10-week average above the 40-week
- Price below the 40-week average
- 6-month down 2.3%
- Weekly MACD below its signal line
- Weekly RSI 50, neutral momentum
The technical score combines several pieces of technical evidence, including moving-average position, momentum, recent performance, our level views and active chart patterns; more filled segments mean the evidence agrees more strongly. Support and resistance are the nearest levels from the intraday and short-term views. For reference only; not investment advice.
AUD/USD: Bullish above the pivot
Our preference
Above 0.70111, look for a move towards 0.70590.
Alternative scenario
Below 0.70111, expect 0.69923 and 0.69812.
Comment
As long as price holds above the pivot, the upside structure remains intact. RSI is at 49 and MACD is below its signal line.
Full level ladder
| Resistance 3 | 0.70814 |
| Resistance 2 | 0.70702 |
| Resistance 1 | 0.70590 |
| Price | 0.70304 |
| Pivot | 0.70111 |
| Support 2 | 0.69923 |
| Support 3 | 0.69812 |
AUD/USD: Bearish below the pivot
Our preference
Below 0.71493, look for a move towards 0.68454.
Alternative scenario
Above 0.71493, expect 0.72840 and 0.73641.
Comment
As long as price stays below the pivot, the downside structure remains intact. RSI is at 53 and MACD is above its signal line.
Full level ladder
| Resistance 3 | 0.73641 |
| Resistance 2 | 0.72840 |
| Pivot | 0.71493 |
| Price | 0.70304 |
| Support 1 | 0.68454 |
| Support 2 | 0.67657 |
| Support 3 | 0.66859 |
AI market story
Updated 2026-10-28 10:48 UTC+8AUD short-term bullish but medium trend still capped
AUD/USD trades at 0.70317, up 0.16% on the day and 0.58% over 20 days. It sits above the 20-day average of 0.69827 but below the 50-day 0.70698. Daily RSI rose to 53, while MACD stays above its signal line though the histogram has shrunk for three sessions.
Price journey: up or down lately?
Price is rising: up 0.16% in one day, 0.34% in five days and 0.58% in 20 days. At 0.70317 it holds above the 20-day average 0.69827 but stays under the 50-day 0.70698.
Trend: which way is the bigger picture pointing?
The bigger trend still leans down: short- and long-term technical scores are bearish, and the daily view is bearish below the 0.71493 pivot, targeting 0.68454 then 0.67657.
Momentum: gaining or losing strength?
Momentum is fading: RSI improved from 50 to 53, but MACD's histogram has contracted for three straight days even with MACD above its signal line.
Key levels: which prices matter next?
Watch the Bollinger upper band 0.70524 and intraday targets 0.70590 and 0.70702 above; below, the intraday pivot 0.70111 and first reversal level 0.69923, then the 20-day average 0.69827.
Aussie touches 111 yen, news flow stays neutral
The only headline is AUD/JPY touching the 111.00 mark, up 0.08% on the day, rated neutral. AUD/USD itself is up 0.16% at 0.70317, so there is little news-driven direction and technical levels dominate the near term.
What is the market talking about?
The market is discussing AUD/JPY touching the 111.00 level, last at 111.00 and up 0.08% intraday, a modest cross-rate move.
Is the news flow positive or negative?
The news tone is neutral: this item is rated neutral, offering no clear bullish or bearish signal for AUD/USD.
How could this news affect the price?
Impact is likely small: the 0.08% AUD/JPY gain hints at mild Aussie support, but AUD/USD may keep reacting within the 0.70111 to 0.70524 zone.
FOMC decision may lift Aussie volatility near fivefold
The US FOMC decision lands 10-29 02:00, with lower bound expected at 3.75 and upper at 4, both unchanged. Across the past 16 releases, AUD/USD moved 89.2 points on average and up to 666.5 points within four hours, rising only 31% of the time, about 4.6 times normal.
What is coming up on the calendar?
The key event is the US FOMC decision at 10-29 02:00, with bounds expected at 3.75 and 4. Also watch Google's Q3 call at 10-29 04:30, Australia's trade price indices at 10-29 08:30 and the policy rate at 11-03 11:30.
How much do these events usually move the price?
FOMC matters most: the past 16 releases saw an average four-hour move of 89.2 points and a maximum of 666.5, about 4.6 times normal, with only 31% closing higher. Australian trade prices averaged 25.0 points, about 1.1 times; the policy rate averaged 32.1 points, about 1.5 times.
This content was generated with the assistance of AI from the Borearis Research Team's market data and analysis. For reference only; not investment advice. How we produce this content
Volatility stop
AUD/USD is above its daily long trailing stop. Long positions can reference 0.70007 (0.42% away); it only moves up. A daily close below 0.70007 signals the trend is weakening.
Calculated from the 22-day high (low) minus (plus) 3 times the average true range on the daily chart, and it only moves in the trend's favour. A common trailing-stop method, for reference only; not investment advice.
Thick line = trailing stop (green uptrend, red downtrend); vertical line = latest trend change; last 90 daily bars
Technical picture
- Price sits between the 20- and 50-day moving averages; the medium-term trend is undecided.
- Daily RSI is 53, neutral momentum.
- Daily MACD is above its signal line; daily momentum is up.
- Price is inside the daily Bollinger Bands (0.69130 to 0.70522).
Related economic events this week
| 10-28 08:30 | Australia Q3 Trimmed Mean CPI YoYAfter 8 past releases, AUD/USD moved 23.6 pips on average in 4 hours · max 43.5 pips | 3.7 |
| 10-28 08:30 | Australia Q3 Trimmed Mean CPI QoQAfter 8 past releases, AUD/USD moved 23.6 pips on average in 4 hours · max 43.5 pips | 1 |
| 10-29 02:00 | United States FOMC Rate Decision (Lower Bound) HighAfter 16 past releases, AUD/USD moved 89.2 pips on average in 4 hours (4.6× normal) · max 666.5 pips | 3.75 |
| 10-29 02:00 | United States FOMC Rate Decision (Upper Bound) HighAfter 16 past releases, AUD/USD moved 89.2 pips on average in 4 hours (4.6× normal) · max 666.5 pips | 4 |
| 10-29 04:30 | United States Alphabet Q3 Earnings Call High | — |
| 10-29 08:30 | Australia 3Q Import Price Index QoQAfter 8 past releases, AUD/USD moved 25.0 pips on average in 4 hours · max 62.0 pips | — |
| 10-29 08:30 | Australia 3Q Export Price Index QoQAfter 8 past releases, AUD/USD moved 25.0 pips on average in 4 hours · max 62.0 pips | — |
| 11-03 11:30 | Australia Policy RateAfter 15 past releases, AUD/USD moved 32.1 pips on average in 4 hours (1.5× normal) · max 59.0 pips | — |
Times in UTC+8. Grey = forecast. Full economic calendar →
News and sentiment for AUD/USD
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Trade signals for AUD/USD
Short-term Signals 30-minute · held a few hours to a day
| Signal time | Bias | Entry | Status | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 16:30 | Bullish | 0.70294 | Stopped out | -1.15−9.0 pips |
| Oct 12, 2026 16:00 | Bearish | 0.69762 | Closed at time limit | +1.49+12.2 pips |
| Oct 09, 2026 17:00 | Bearish | 0.69775 | Stopped out | -1.17−8.3 pips |
| Sep 21, 2026 16:00 | Bullish | 0.71295 | Closed at time limit | -0.60−5.1 pips |
| Aug 13, 2026 17:00 | Bullish | 0.70513 | Closed at time limit | +1.59+11.9 pips |
All short-term signals and results →
Swing Signals 1-hour and 4-hour · held a day to a week
No recent swing signals for AUD/USD.
Chart patterns in play for AUD/USD
No active 15-minute to 4-hour patterns for AUD/USD right now.
FAQ
Where are AUD/USD support and resistance levels today?
Intraday resistance: 0.70590, 0.70702, 0.70814. Support: 0.70111, 0.69923, 0.69812. Pivot: 0.70111 (updated Oct 28, 2026 15:09 UTC+8).
Is AUD/USD bullish or bearish now?
Intraday: bullish. Short-term (daily): bearish. Bullish above 0.70111, targeting 0.70590 and then 0.70702.
How has AUD/USD been trading lately?
AUD short-term bullish but medium trend still capped. AUD/USD trades at 0.70317, up 0.16% on the day and 0.58% over 20 days. It sits above the 20-day average of 0.69827 but below the 50-day 0.70698. Daily RSI rose to 53, while MACD stays above its signal line though the histogram has shrunk for three sessions.
How do I read the AUD/USD technical score?
Currently short-term bullish, medium-term bearish, long-term bearish. The technical score combines several pieces of technical evidence, such as moving-average position, momentum, recent performance, our level views and active chart patterns, into short-, intermediate- and long-term readings. More filled segments mean the evidence points the same way; neutral means bullish and bearish evidence are balanced.
Where should a stop loss go on AUD/USD?
AUD/USD is above its daily long trailing stop. Long positions can reference 0.70007 (0.42% away); it only moves up. A daily close below 0.70007 signals the trend is weakening.
Which economic events matter for AUD/USD next?
FOMC decision may lift Aussie volatility near fivefold. The US FOMC decision lands 10-29 02:00, with lower bound expected at 3.75 and upper at 4, both unchanged. Across the past 16 releases, AUD/USD moved 89.2 points on average and up to 666.5 points within four hours, rising only 31% of the time, about 4.6 times normal.
What is the pivot?
The pivot is the line in the sand for the view. In a bullish view it sits below price; a close below it invalidates the view and a new set of levels is drawn. The reverse applies to a bearish view.
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