AUDJPY touched the 111.00 level, up 0.25% on the day, in a routine real-time quote update.
AUD/JPY Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance & Pivot Today (Oct 28, 2026)
What drives the technical score
- Intraday view is bullish
- Price above the 20-day average
- Daily MACD above its signal line
- Daily RSI 54, neutral momentum
- 5-day change +0.2%, little net move
- Daily view is bearish
- Price below the 50-day average
- 20-day average below the 50-day
- Daily MACD below zero
- 20-day change +1.0%, little net move
- Price below the 40-week average
- 10-week average below the 40-week
- Weekly MACD below its signal line
- 6-month change -1.6%, little net move
- Weekly RSI 50, neutral momentum
The technical score combines several pieces of technical evidence, including moving-average position, momentum, recent performance, our level views and active chart patterns; more filled segments mean the evidence agrees more strongly. Support and resistance are the nearest levels from the intraday and short-term views. For reference only; not investment advice.
AUD/JPY: Bullish above the pivot
Our preference
Above 110.734, look for a move towards 111.456.
Alternative scenario
Below 110.734, expect 110.396 and 110.195.
Comment
As long as price holds above the pivot, the upside structure remains intact. RSI is at 53 and MACD is below its signal line.
Full level ladder
| Resistance 3 | 111.858 |
| Resistance 2 | 111.657 |
| Resistance 1 | 111.456 |
| Price | 111.059 |
| Pivot | 110.734 |
| Support 2 | 110.396 |
| Support 3 | 110.195 |
AUD/JPY: On the edge of pivot level
Our preference
Below 111.839, look for a move towards 106.286.
Alternative scenario
Above 111.839, expect 114.303 and 115.770.
Comment
The price is approaching our pivot level at a critical juncture, leaving little room for the asset to reverse its current trajectory. RSI is at 54 and MACD is above its signal line.
Full level ladder
| Resistance 3 | 115.770 |
| Resistance 2 | 114.303 |
| Pivot | 111.839 |
| Price | 111.059 |
| Support 1 | 106.286 |
| Support 2 | 104.829 |
| Support 3 | 103.371 |
AI market story
Updated 2026-10-28 09:48 UTC+8AUD/JPY short-term bullish but medium-term bias stays bearish
AUD/JPY trades at 111.209, up 0.45% on the day and 0.95% over 20 days, above the 20-day average of 110.292 but below the 50-day average of 111.314. Daily RSI is 55 and the MACD histogram has widened for three sessions, so momentum is improving while the medium-term structure remains bearish.
Price journey: up or down lately?
It has been rising. The pair is up 0.45% in one day, 0.15% in five days and 0.95% in 20 days, holding above the 20-day average of 110.292 within a 108.631 to 111.306 range.
Trend: which way is the bigger picture pointing?
The bigger picture still leans bearish. The daily view points down with a pivot at 111.839 and targets at 106.286 and 104.829, valid only while price stays below 111.839, and price is under the 50-day average of 111.314.
Momentum: gaining or losing strength?
Momentum is strengthening. Daily RSI rose from 53 five days ago to 55, MACD sits above its signal line and the histogram has widened for three straight days, with the 30-minute intraday view also bullish.
Key levels: which prices matter next?
Watch the 50-day average at 111.314 and the upper Bollinger band at 111.363, with 111.839 above as the pivot. On the downside, watch the 110.734 intraday pivot, the 110.292 20-day average and 110.396 below that.
BOJ decision and Tokyo CPI set to widen AUD/JPY swings
The key event is the Bank of Japan rate decision on 10-30 at 11:30, rated high importance. Tokyo CPI is due the same day at 07:30, with expectations and the prior reading both at 2.7%. Australia's import and export price indices have averaged 48.6 points of movement in the four hours after release, about 1.2 times normal.
What is coming up on the calendar?
In order: Australia's Q3 import and export price indices on 10-29 at 08:30, low importance; Japan's October Tokyo CPI on 10-30 at 07:30, medium importance; the BOJ rate decision on 10-30 at 11:30, high importance; the Kioxia earnings call on 10-30 at 17:45, high importance; and Australia's policy rate on 11-03 at 11:30, prior at 4.6.
How much do these events usually move the price?
Tokyo CPI has averaged 41.0 points in the four hours after release over 24 cases, with a maximum of 84.0 points, about 0.9 times normal. Australia's trade price indices average 48.6 points and up to 85.0, about 1.2 times, while the policy rate has averaged 55.5 points and up to 90.2, about 1.5 times.
This content was generated with the assistance of AI from the Borearis Research Team's market data and analysis. For reference only; not investment advice. How we produce this content
Volatility stop
AUD/JPY is below its daily short trailing stop. Short positions can reference 111.174 (0.10% away); it only moves down. A daily close above 111.174 signals the trend is strengthening.
Calculated from the 22-day high (low) minus (plus) 3 times the average true range on the daily chart, and it only moves in the trend's favour. A common trailing-stop method, for reference only; not investment advice.
Thick line = trailing stop (green uptrend, red downtrend); vertical line = latest trend change; last 90 daily bars
Technical picture
- Price sits between the 20- and 50-day moving averages; the medium-term trend is undecided.
- Daily RSI is 54, neutral momentum.
- Daily MACD is above its signal line; daily momentum is up.
- Price is inside the daily Bollinger Bands (109.238 to 111.332).
Related economic events this week
| 10-28 08:30 | Australia Q3 Trimmed Mean CPI YoYAfter 8 past releases, AUD/JPY moved 38.5 pips on average in 4 hours · max 50.7 pips | 3.7 |
| 10-28 08:30 | Australia Q3 Trimmed Mean CPI QoQAfter 8 past releases, AUD/JPY moved 38.5 pips on average in 4 hours · max 50.7 pips | 1 |
| 10-29 08:30 | Australia 3Q Import Price Index QoQAfter 8 past releases, AUD/JPY moved 48.6 pips on average in 4 hours (1.2× normal) · max 85.0 pips | — |
| 10-29 08:30 | Australia 3Q Export Price Index QoQAfter 8 past releases, AUD/JPY moved 48.6 pips on average in 4 hours (1.2× normal) · max 85.0 pips | — |
| 10-30 07:30 | Japan Oct Tokyo CPI YoY HighAfter 24 past releases, AUD/JPY moved 41.0 pips on average in 4 hours · max 84.0 pips | 2.7 |
| 10-30 11:30 | Japan BOJ Rate Decision High | — |
| 10-30 17:45 | Japan Kioxia Earnings Call High | — |
| 11-03 11:30 | Australia Policy RateAfter 15 past releases, AUD/JPY moved 55.5 pips on average in 4 hours (1.5× normal) · max 90.2 pips | — |
Times in UTC+8. Grey = forecast. Full economic calendar →
News and sentiment for AUD/JPY
Trade signals for AUD/JPY
Short-term Signals 30-minute · held a few hours to a day
| Signal time | Bias | Entry | Status | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 16:30 | Bearish | 110.450 | Stopped out | -1.13−17.9 pips |
| Oct 09, 2026 16:30 | Bearish | 110.413 | Closed at time limit | -0.64−9.2 pips |
| Aug 28, 2026 17:00 | Bullish | 114.840 | Stopped out | -1.15−15.2 pips |
| Aug 27, 2026 19:30 | Bullish | 114.520 | Closed at time limit | +0.26+3.5 pips |
| Aug 25, 2026 16:00 | Bullish | 113.935 | Closed at time limit | +0.09+1.0 pips |
All short-term signals and results →
Swing Signals 1-hour and 4-hour · held a day to a week
No recent swing signals for AUD/JPY.
Chart patterns in play for AUD/JPY
No active 15-minute to 4-hour patterns for AUD/JPY right now.
FAQ
Where are AUD/JPY support and resistance levels today?
Intraday resistance: 111.456, 111.657, 111.858. Support: 110.734, 110.396, 110.195. Pivot: 110.734 (updated Oct 28, 2026 15:09 UTC+8).
Is AUD/JPY bullish or bearish now?
Intraday: bullish. Short-term (daily): bearish. Bullish above 110.734, targeting 111.456 and then 111.657.
How has AUD/JPY been trading lately?
AUD/JPY short-term bullish but medium-term bias stays bearish. AUD/JPY trades at 111.209, up 0.45% on the day and 0.95% over 20 days, above the 20-day average of 110.292 but below the 50-day average of 111.314. Daily RSI is 55 and the MACD histogram has widened for three sessions, so momentum is improving while the medium-term structure remains bearish.
How do I read the AUD/JPY technical score?
Currently short-term bullish, medium-term bearish, long-term bearish. The technical score combines several pieces of technical evidence, such as moving-average position, momentum, recent performance, our level views and active chart patterns, into short-, intermediate- and long-term readings. More filled segments mean the evidence points the same way; neutral means bullish and bearish evidence are balanced.
Where should a stop loss go on AUD/JPY?
AUD/JPY is below its daily short trailing stop. Short positions can reference 111.174 (0.10% away); it only moves down. A daily close above 111.174 signals the trend is strengthening.
Which economic events matter for AUD/JPY next?
BOJ decision and Tokyo CPI set to widen AUD/JPY swings. The key event is the Bank of Japan rate decision on 10-30 at 11:30, rated high importance. Tokyo CPI is due the same day at 07:30, with expectations and the prior reading both at 2.7%. Australia's import and export price indices have averaged 48.6 points of movement in the four hours after release, about 1.2 times normal.
What is the pivot?
The pivot is the line in the sand for the view. In a bullish view it sits below price; a close below it invalidates the view and a new set of levels is drawn. The reverse applies to a bearish view.
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