AUD/CAD Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance & Pivot Today (Oct 28, 2026)
What drives the technical score
- Intraday view is bullish
- Price above the 20-day average
- Daily MACD below its signal line
- Daily RSI 50, neutral momentum
- 5-day change +0.2%, little net move
- Daily view is bullish
- Price below the 50-day average
- 20-day average below the 50-day
- Daily MACD below zero
- 20-day change -0.4%, little net move
- Price above the 40-week average
- 10-week average above the 40-week
- Weekly RSI 55, positive momentum
- Weekly MACD below its signal line
- 6-month change +1.1%, little net move
The technical score combines several pieces of technical evidence, including moving-average position, momentum, recent performance, our level views and active chart patterns; more filled segments mean the evidence agrees more strongly. Support and resistance are the nearest levels from the intraday and short-term views. For reference only; not investment advice.
AUD/CAD: On the edge of pivot level
Our preference
Above 0.98784, look for a move towards 0.99372.
Alternative scenario
Below 0.98784, expect 0.98555 and 0.98418.
Comment
The price is approaching our pivot level at a critical juncture, leaving little room for the asset to reverse its current trajectory. RSI is at 51 and MACD is below its signal line.
Full level ladder
| Resistance 3 | 0.99645 |
| Resistance 2 | 0.99509 |
| Resistance 1 | 0.99372 |
| Price | 0.98832 |
| Pivot | 0.98784 |
| Support 2 | 0.98555 |
| Support 3 | 0.98418 |
AUD/CAD: Bullish above the pivot
Our preference
Above 0.96610, look for a move towards 1.01014.
Alternative scenario
Below 0.96610, expect 0.94579 and 0.93370.
Comment
As long as price holds above the pivot, the upside structure remains intact. RSI is at 49 and MACD is below its signal line.
Full level ladder
| Resistance 3 | 1.03442 |
| Resistance 2 | 1.02228 |
| Resistance 1 | 1.01014 |
| Price | 0.98832 |
| Pivot | 0.96610 |
| Support 2 | 0.94579 |
| Support 3 | 0.93370 |
AI market story
Updated 2026-10-28 10:48 UTC+8AUD/CAD tilts bullish short term but momentum is fading
Price is 0.98880, up 0.43% in a day and 0.22% in five days, though still down 0.41% over 20 days. Daily RSI recovered to 51 and MACD sits above its signal line, but the histogram has shrunk three days running. Price hugs the 20-day average of 0.98812 and stays below the 50-day 0.99106.
Price journey: up or down lately?
It has risen recently: up 0.43% in a day and 0.22% in five days. Over 20 days it is still down 0.41%, so this looks like a stabilisation after a pullback rather than a full turn higher.
Trend: which way is the bigger picture pointing?
The short term leans bullish, the medium term bearish and the long term bullish. The daily view is bullish with a pivot at 0.96610, but price remains under the 50-day average of 0.99106, so medium-term pressure persists.
Momentum: gaining or losing strength?
Momentum is weakening. RSI rose from 44 five days ago to 51, and MACD is above its signal line, yet the histogram has contracted for three straight days, meaning the upward push is fading.
Key levels: which prices matter next?
Watch the intraday pivot at 0.98784 first; holding above it keeps the bullish case alive, with targets at 0.99372 and 0.99509. A break of 0.98555 would flag weakness. On the daily chart, watch 0.96610 and 1.01014.
Bank of Canada decision leads, Australia rate follows
The nearest event is Canada's policy rate on 10-28, expected at 2.25 versus 2.25 prior; over the past 21 releases the 4-hour average move was 40.5 points with 43% closing higher. Australia's 11-03 rate decision averages 53.3 points, about 1.7 times normal, the biggest mover.
What is coming up on the calendar?
In order: Canada's policy rate on 10-28 (expected 2.25, prior 2.25), Australia's import and export price indices on 10-29, Canada's August GDP year-on-year and month-on-month on 10-30, and Australia's policy rate on 11-03 (prior 4.6).
How much do these events usually move the price?
Canada's rate decision averaged 40.5 points over 4 hours across 21 releases, max 56.9, about 1.0 times normal. Canada GDP averages 41.5 points, Australia's trade price indices 38.3 points, and Australia's 11-03 rate decision 53.3 points with a 114.2 max, about 1.7 times normal, the largest.
This content was generated with the assistance of AI from the Borearis Research Team's market data and analysis. For reference only; not investment advice. How we produce this content
Volatility stop
AUD/CAD is below its daily short trailing stop. Short positions can reference 0.99628 (0.80% away); it only moves down. A daily close above 0.99628 signals the trend is strengthening.
Calculated from the 22-day high (low) minus (plus) 3 times the average true range on the daily chart, and it only moves in the trend's favour. A common trailing-stop method, for reference only; not investment advice.
Thick line = trailing stop (green uptrend, red downtrend); vertical line = latest trend change; last 90 daily bars
Technical picture
- Price sits between the 20- and 50-day moving averages; the medium-term trend is undecided.
- Daily RSI is 50, neutral momentum.
- Daily MACD is below its signal line; daily momentum is down.
- Price is inside the daily Bollinger Bands (0.97963 to 0.99656).
Related economic events this week
| 10-28 08:30 | Australia Q3 Trimmed Mean CPI YoYAfter 11 past releases, AUD/CAD moved 51.5 pips on average in 4 hours (1.5× normal) · max 89.3 pips | 3.7 |
| 10-28 08:30 | Australia Q3 Trimmed Mean CPI QoQAfter 11 past releases, AUD/CAD moved 51.5 pips on average in 4 hours (1.5× normal) · max 89.3 pips | 1 |
| 10-28 21:45 | Canada Central Bank Policy Rate HighAfter 21 past releases, AUD/CAD moved 40.5 pips on average in 4 hours · max 56.9 pips | 2.25 |
| 10-29 08:30 | Australia 3Q Import Price Index QoQAfter 11 past releases, AUD/CAD moved 38.3 pips on average in 4 hours · max 83.4 pips | — |
| 10-29 08:30 | Australia 3Q Export Price Index QoQAfter 11 past releases, AUD/CAD moved 38.3 pips on average in 4 hours · max 83.4 pips | — |
| 10-30 20:30 | Canada Aug GDP YoYAfter 33 past releases, AUD/CAD moved 41.5 pips on average in 4 hours · max 69.9 pips | — |
| 10-30 20:30 | Canada Aug GDP MoMAfter 33 past releases, AUD/CAD moved 41.5 pips on average in 4 hours · max 69.9 pips | 0.2 |
| 11-03 11:30 | Australia Policy RateAfter 21 past releases, AUD/CAD moved 53.3 pips on average in 4 hours (1.7× normal) · max 114.2 pips | — |
Times in UTC+8. Grey = forecast. Full economic calendar →
News and sentiment for AUD/CAD
None of the financial news we collected in the last 7 days mentioned AUD/CAD directly.
Trade signals for AUD/CAD
Short-term Signals 30-minute · held a few hours to a day
No recent short-term signals for AUD/CAD.
All short-term signals and results →
Swing Signals 1-hour and 4-hour · held a day to a week
No recent swing signals for AUD/CAD.
Chart patterns in play for AUD/CAD
No active 15-minute to 4-hour patterns for AUD/CAD right now.
FAQ
Where are AUD/CAD support and resistance levels today?
Intraday resistance: 0.99372, 0.99509, 0.99645. Support: 0.98784, 0.98555, 0.98418. Pivot: 0.98784 (updated Oct 28, 2026 15:09 UTC+8).
Is AUD/CAD bullish or bearish now?
Intraday: bullish. Short-term (daily): bullish. Bullish above 0.98784, targeting 0.99372 and then 0.99509.
How has AUD/CAD been trading lately?
AUD/CAD tilts bullish short term but momentum is fading. Price is 0.98880, up 0.43% in a day and 0.22% in five days, though still down 0.41% over 20 days. Daily RSI recovered to 51 and MACD sits above its signal line, but the histogram has shrunk three days running. Price hugs the 20-day average of 0.98812 and stays below the 50-day 0.99106.
How do I read the AUD/CAD technical score?
Currently short-term bullish, medium-term bearish, long-term bullish. The technical score combines several pieces of technical evidence, such as moving-average position, momentum, recent performance, our level views and active chart patterns, into short-, intermediate- and long-term readings. More filled segments mean the evidence points the same way; neutral means bullish and bearish evidence are balanced.
Where should a stop loss go on AUD/CAD?
AUD/CAD is below its daily short trailing stop. Short positions can reference 0.99628 (0.80% away); it only moves down. A daily close above 0.99628 signals the trend is strengthening.
Which economic events matter for AUD/CAD next?
Bank of Canada decision leads, Australia rate follows. The nearest event is Canada's policy rate on 10-28, expected at 2.25 versus 2.25 prior; over the past 21 releases the 4-hour average move was 40.5 points with 43% closing higher. Australia's 11-03 rate decision averages 53.3 points, about 1.7 times normal, the biggest mover.
What is the pivot?
The pivot is the line in the sand for the view. In a bullish view it sits below price; a close below it invalidates the view and a new set of levels is drawn. The reverse applies to a bearish view.
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